Risk Events: NFP, Unemployment, and PMI

On Friday, August 1st, 2014 we have a very busy day with various news announcements coming in from leading world economies. Included in the announcements we have the most followed figure by the markets, Non Farm Payroll. A summary of the announcements and historical charts are provided below. Announcement Time (GMT) Forecast Previous Actual Previous […]

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Will NFP Sustain Or Break This Dollar Rally?

With the dollar so bullish and NFP scheduled on Friday, the FX markets consolidated the previous week’s moves without challenging the current status quo. Euro CPI was poor, but so were US Chicago PMIs, with only the US employment cost index anything to write home about. Overall the dollar was in demand in the morning […]

Month end flows in action

GBPUSD been hit relatively hard on month end flows and window dressing this morning. Best bet is to ride it or get out the way.

The LFX Guide to: Edinburgh Fringe Festival

The Edinburgh Fringe Festival is the world’s biggest arts festival and it’s taking over the Scottish capital for the whole of August. Read on to find out how you can get involved…

FOMC Disappointment Could See Profit Taking

Wednesday was an important day for the dollar as mentioned and it certainly did not disappoint. We started the day with a mix of not too bad and not too great European numbers. Overall the tone was mildly Euro negative as a result and we pushed down to the 1.3400 level for EURUSD before finding […]

11 Books Every Serious Trader Should Have Read

Wednesday is national Paperback Book day, so make sure you’ve read your way through our list of 11 Books Every Serious Trader Should Have Read. With everything from memoirs and biographies of the most notorious traders in history to the newest trading strategies, if there’s a trading lesson to be learnt, it’s here…

US Preliminary GDP and ADP Preview

There are three key events all coming out all from the US on Wednesday. US GDP and ADP Nonfarm Employment Change will be announced and the FOMC Statement is released. We will focus on US GDP though all three will be considered in our analysis…

Retail investors’ portal iNVEZZ launches crowd funding campaign

Our friends over at iNVEZZ – the comparison and review investment portal – have launched a campaign on crowd funding site Crowdcube. The innovative online company is raising investment capital for the development of unique new features, and you can meet and grill the co-founders at their live London pitch on July 30th…

CB Consumer Confidence Preview

The Conference Board will announce its Consumer Confidence Index figure on Tuesday, July 29, 2014 at 2:00 PM GMT. This will be the major announcement for Tuesday along with a talk by MPC member Ben Broadbent…

Dollar Technically Vulnerable Ahead Of Data

Not much happened on Monday. Traders had a lack of data to trade and are right ahead of a large set of risk events so are hesitant to commit ahead of them…

Weekly COT Analysis

The euro extends its net short position to a staggering $15bn as the market continues to add to its short positions. AUD takes a hold of the market with the largest held net long position whilst sterling slips as traders take profits on their longs.

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US Pending Homes Sales Preview

Major news for the US Dollar will be coming from the National Association of Realtors with Pending Homes Sales. The announcement will be coming in at 2:00 PM GMT on Monday, July 28, 2014 and will be the only key news for the day. The charts and table below provide more related information. Announcement Forecast […]

Week Ahead: Important Week For The Dollar

A busy week fundamentally ahead with numerous key data points on the calendar. We start off rather slow and as a result price action may do the same..

Five Lessons Learnt This Week

In this week’s Five Lessons Learnt, find out why you should always check your direct debits, how ice cream can power factories and just why you should be careful where you wear your kilt…

UK GDP Preview

Tomorrow (Friday, July 25, 2014) will see monthly and yearly UK GDP figures released at 8:30 AM GMT. Forecasts are 0.8% and 3.1% for MoM and YoY respectively; previous actuals were 0.8% and 3.0% which had forecasts of 0.8% and 3.1% in the same order. The IMF has said that it expects annual GDP to […]

Pound In The Buy Zone Ahead of GDP Number

The market sold off pre-European PMIs, clearly expecting poor numbers but something rather interesting happened. The French numbers came in mixed with manufacturing well bellow par but EURUSD rallied from the low anyway. This set us up for a good bounce once the better than expected German numbers came in. The Euro bounce was aided […]

Order Flow Trading: How to follow trend

Gabriele demonstrates how you could have captured recent negative movements of equity futures by the use of order flow and volume strategies…

Basic Order Flow – Trade Like Littlefish

A really quick bit of insight into how you could have captured all of the EURUSD recent moves without any effort, just by looking at order flow. From CEO Sam Barry…

EURUSD = Post presser

The World’s Craziest Drive-Thrus

To celebrate Thursday’s National Drive-Thru day, we’re looking at the most unexpected services you can access without having to leave your car. We’re sure you already knew you could get a fast-food fix from the driver’s seat, but did you know you can also get married, attend a funeral and do your weekly food shop?

Top 4 Trading Tools I Couldn’t Live Without

So over the weekend I figured I’d review our systems and trading techniques, and have decided that I am going to start a series of videos on a simple trading system, based on my top four trading tools…

UK Retail Sales Preview

Monthly and yearly UK retail sales figures will be released on Thursday, July 24, 2014 at 8:30 AM GMT. The table and graphs below provides data related to the announcement. Announcement Forecast Previous Actual Previous Forecast MoM Retail Sales 0.3% -0.5% -0.5% YoY Retail Sales 3.9% 3.9% 4.3% UK retail sales have jumped significantly beginning […]

EURUSD – Ugly Oversold Downside Or Bounce?

The news of the day on Wednesday was the UK MPC and the speech by BOE governor Carney. Traders were hoping for a hawkish statement at the MPC but were left disappointed on the whole with a less hawkish than expected result. This was then corroborated by the less hawkish than hoped speech by Carney, […]

Euro Index And Dollar Index At Extremes

US CPI came in soft but traders didn’t bat an eye lid with orders buying the green back in spite of the worse than expected data, particularly against the Euro which broke major support down to the next level. The Australian Dollar rally was fuelled by a lack of comments from the RBA chief who […]

Dollar Still Vulnerable Within Bull Channel

Monday was slow as a result of a Japanese bank holiday and a lack of real data to get the markets moving, but Tuesday will see a return to normal…

US Core CPI Preview

US Core CPI numbers will be coming out on Tuesday, July 22, 2014 at 12:30 PM GMT. The forecasts for MoM and YoY are 0.2% and 2.0% respectively. Previous monthly and yearly figures were 0.3% and 2.0% while previous forecasts were 0.2% and 1.9% (each exceeded by 0.1%)…

Weekly COT Analysis

Little has changed this week but there is a clear sense of stabilisation within the markets. China and Yellen’s comments were the main drivers and CAD and AUD saw the most support and the EUR saw the other side of the coin. Central bank policy is playing…

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A-Z of the Commonwealth Games

Wednesday sees the opening ceremony of the 20th Commonwealth, or ‘Friendly’ Games, bringing together thousands of athletes, volunteers and spectators for a festival of sport and culture. Our A-Z guide will give you the rundown on everything you need to know, from which athletes to watch to details of the best venue makeovers and how you can get involved.

Week Ahead: Risk-Off Plays Running Out Of Steam

The data calendar is quite light for Monday so the overall theme in the market will be a risk-on / risk-off type of play based on the current geopolitical situation with regards the downed jet in rebel held eastern Ukraine and the seemingly escalating crisis in Gaza. However it is quite shameful to say but […]

Order Flow: Equity Risk-Off

Last week, several catalysts pushed major equity markets down by the rise of risk aversion: the banking crisis in Portugal with Banco Espirito Santo, conflict in Gaza, and the Malaysian Airways jet that was shot down in Ukraine…

The LFX Guide to: Cocktails

Saturday is Daiquiri day- the perfect excuse to enjoy a cocktail or two over the weekend. If you’re due a break from your trading screens, check out our cocktail guide and pick out your weekend tipple of choice.

Beating Binary Options Pricing Models

Our tech team have taken up the challenge to beat binary options brokers. Here’s one of the strategies we got working well…

Five Lessons Learnt This Week

We’re back with this week’s lessons, including why you shouldn’t attack a spider with a blow torch, how to sell that old car and why you should always watch where you’re walking…

Risk-Off Due To Downed Jet And Gaza

US building permits were slightly lower than expected and Unemployment claims came in relatively well, but the biggest data surprise of the day was a much better than expected Philly Fed index, coming in at 23.9 vs 15.6. The dollar was mixed though with other key market crosswinds in the form of Yen and gold […]

Euro Approaching The Bottom Of The Current Range

Wednesday’s trade was dominated by the UK data and US PPI data. Although UK Claimant Counts and Unemployment Rate came in quite impressive there was a miss in the form of average earnings. This wasn’t the most ground breaking news but the market was already looking for an excuse to take profit from their longs […]

Opposing Market Forces Collide

There were three very clear driving forces in the market on Tuesday, unfortunately they were in often opposing directions which has lead to some messy trading, particularly in the Euro pairs. We started off with a very strong UK CPI reading, which has reignited rate hike speculation from the BOE in the minds of traders. […]

Stocks Lead The Euro Higher Ahead Of Data

Earnings have lifted stocks which lead market sentiment throughout the start of the week. Citgroup were one of the top performers after announcing stronger than expected quarterly profits. The dollar was strong but EURUSD rose regardless, even though Euro industrial production numbers came in poorly. The lack of data on Monday keeping things quite sedate. […]

Weekly COT Analysis

The market continues to respond to domestic factors which are driving the currency markets at the moment. Traders are bullish GBP, AUD and CAD whilst they are bearish CHF, EUR and JPY.

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7 places we’d rather be than our desk

Sometimes it seems like there’s not much left to look forward to: the World Cup is over, a new Wimbledon champion has been crowned and we’ve done Glastonbury. And it’s Monday. This combination of events has got us dreaming of jetting off somewhere exotic. So here’s our pick of the top places we’d rather be than our desks this morning…

US Retail Sales Preview

US retail sales for the month of June will be released on Tuesday, July 15, 2014 at 12:30PM GMT. This number is a percentage representing the total change in value of inflation adjusted sales at the retail level. Essentially it measures consumer spending at the final level and thus gives a good indication of the […]

Top 10 Outdoor Activities to Try

It’s time to step away from those trading screens and blow some cobwebs away with one our Top 10 Outdoor Activities. Whether you fancy jumping from a cliff, riding down a river in an inflatable armchair or rolling around in a giant inflatable hamster ball, there’s something here for you…

7 Ways To Keep Fit During The Busy Trading Week

Here are our top picks for the best ways to cram a workout or two into your busy trading week…

Fundamentals And Tech Combine To Sink The Euro

Thursday started off with the Australian dollar plunging lower after unimpressive Australian and Chinese data overnight, so the mood was somewhat set to risk-off well before the news of a possible default relating to Portuguese banks. It was of course a storm in a teacup and actually hardly of the magnitude to cause real harm, […]

The LFX Guide To: Cycling Gadgets

The Tour de France is well underway, so make sure you’re ready for the biggest cycling event of the year with our round-up of the best must-have cycling gadgets. From indestructible inner tubes and invisible helmets to powered-by-cycle phone chargers, it’s all here…

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FOMC Chop But No Direction

Wednesday was all about the FOMC minutes. Analysts love to write sensational headlines and get very excited about minor events but this one, save for a little chop went pretty much as expected. With the end of taper in sight we had the confirmation that most expected that the final October reduction would be 15bln […]

Still Contained By Slow Summer Ranges

We saw good numbers on the whole save for a miss in the UK manufacturing production, which afforded traders a chance to buy the pound. This is exactly what happened and the downside from the poorer than expected number was gradually eaten away, with the day ending near opening levels once again. This is quite […]

Yen Strength and Market Noise

Things would have been considerably neater for us had we not crept over resistance in early trade at the start of the week for the dollar, because now the key resistance level is likely to provide less assurance for USD bears The main factor driving this though is news regarding Japanese companies being comfortable with […]

Order Flow Basics: Delta

In the latest educational article on order flow, Gabriele demonstrates a way to use order flow information to catch a possible market reversal…

POC: Powerful levels for intraday swings

Here we provide a glimpse of a very easy, but at the same time incredibly powerful trading tool: POC, Point of Control…

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Top 10 Chocolate Treats

This week saw National Chocolate Day come and go, so if you missed it, it’d be rude not to treat yourself to a cheeky Dairy Milk, right? Here’s our guide to the best chocolate treats that’ll make your mouth water…

The Top 11 Cars Of 2014

Has watching the Grand Prix at the weekend given you the petrol bug? Need helping decide what your next motor should be? Then read on for our picks of the best new cars of 2014.

The LFX Guide to: The World Cup

This weekend sees the final of the quadrennial football extravaganza known as the Fifa World Cup. It’s your last chance to get in on the action by reading our World Cup Guide…

The best mobile tech and apps for traders

Today is National ‘I Forgot’ Day… have you forgotten anything important? Make sure it doesn’t happen again with our top picks of the best trading apps and mobile tech, featuring FX tools, stock forecasts, smartphone releases and a new generation of hybrid laptop-tablets that’ll keep you organised…

You Are The Trading Revolution

Wall Street is dead, long live Wall Street, says CEO Sam Barry as he gives his thoughts on who will come out as winners in the trading revolution…

Best Events in the Second Half of 2014

The 1st July marks the beginning of the second half of 2014 (hasn’t this year flown?) Here’s what the rest of the year has in store, from motorsport and cycling to festivals and film releases…

Five Lessons Learnt This Week

It’s Friday! Time for this week’s important lessons. This time around, we’ve learnt why you should always check you’re on the right plane, how to catch a bear having a midnight feast and that Barack Obama is a doppelgänger for Chris Smalling…

A Simple Trick to Help You Win Candlestick Patterns

Okay guys, today I want to give you a blinder of a trick to try on your charts.

The LFX Guide to: Festivals

Today is the first day of the world’s largest greenfield festival: Glastonbury. After playing host to the Rolling Stones last year, Pilton, Somerset is welcoming headliners including Metallica, Arcade Fire, Blondie, Pixies, Dolly Parton and Lily Allen for this year’s five-day music extravaganza. But it’s not the only festival on offer this summer. Read on for the lowdown on this year’s best music festivals and all the secrets you need to know…

Five Lessons Learnt This Week

It’s been a pretty big news week with the World Cup and Royal Ascot filling the column inches alongside some important lessons. This week, find out why you should always check who you’re tweeting, how not to ride an escalator and just why everyone needs a Scooby Doo onsie…

Ignoring the race to find the next crisis

Before the financial crisis everyone was focused on the boom years and nothing could go wrong. Now all of a sudden, post crisis everything is awful and there is a new crisis every week that is poised to destroy the financial markets. They are both utter nonsense. Here’s why…

Best Events of Summer 2014

This Saturday is Midsummer’s Day, so time is running out to get your summer calendar planned! Here’s our rundown of the events you can’t miss, from music festivals and racing to football and cycling.

The key remains to follow the flow

John Plender wrote an interesting and short piece in the FT last week, and I suggest you read it…

Moving Average Myth Buster: Part 1

Moving Averages are some of the most widely used methods of analysing a trend. Here we compare the performance of a moving average cross system using various combinations of these commonly used moving averages when placed upon a strongly trending pair such as AUDUSD…

Video: Using the Littlefish FX Psych Indicator

Our LFX Psych Indicator measures the % of longs or shorts in a given period and is used in two key ways. Here’s a short video tutorial from Sam…

Buy: Indicators, Courses & Strategies

Our Littlefish FX Trading tools – available to download instantly – include Add-ons, Indicators, Strategies and Courses.

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RTAS System Insight Part 4: Rebaselining & Conclusion

The fourth and concluding part in our series of articles by CEO Sam Barry talking about the RTAS System and addressing some of the most common questions and feedback from inquisitive Littlefish FX readers…

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Video: Strategy Building with the LFCOT Indicator

Want to learn how to build a COT automated trading system using the LFX COT Indicator and NinjaTrader Strategy Wizard? Then make sure you watch this short video from Littlefish FX…

The advantages of charting with an Index

Indexes allow you to compare a number of charts that contain the two currencies you want to trade, for example EURUSD. This is a vital way of ensuring you are not dealing in a currency which has become overpriced. So how do you do it? Read on to find out…

Know Your Chart Patterns

Here we take a look at how you can use chart patterns to give you an understanding of the buying and selling that’s taking place in the market. Chart patterns can help you analyse the market and forecast your trading strategy…

Trading With MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is a strategy which utilises moving average lines, which are created by previous price trends. It was developed by Gerald Appel in the 1970’s and in 1986, Thomas Aspray added a further component to it (the histogram) to bring it its current state…

Video: Simple Trading Strategies Part 1 – Stochastic Crossovers

Here we bring you our first video in our Simple Trading Strategies series. Part 1 provides an intro to the series and continues with our discussion on Stochastic Crossovers…

LFX/NinjaTrader Webinar: Order Book trading secrets

Littlefish FX’s very own Sam Barry gave a NinjaTrader Webinar on Order Book trading secrets. Didn’t catch it? Fear not, NinjaTrader were kind enough to record it all in full, so here it is again for your viewing pleasure…

Bespoke Forex Trading Systems

A COMPLETE TRADING SYSTEM IN A BOX Attention all prop, managed account, hedge fund and fund businesses – here at Littlefish FX we are offering bespoke black box development based on our patented in-house order book systems. A full trading system – unique to you Based on underlying order flow techniques as used in our […]

OrderBook

RTAS System Insight Part 3: Creating our Portfolio

Now lets consider where the difference lie between systems. A good example may be that a fund or Hedgefund is looking for 25% to 30% returns per annum, 1:5 leverage with ultra low drawdowns, but is not concerned with number of open trades and allows hedging structures…

RTAS System Insight Part 2: Strategy building

Once we have the idea, the concept then turned to how do we build component based systems so that we can either produce long dated consistent systems or manipulate components for certain conditions or system specifications…

RTAS System Insight Part 1: Order Flow

To start with, I’d like give you all a bit of insight into how we build systems and therefore a little insight into the RTAS system as it finalises its rebaselining…

Video: Simple Trading Strategies Part 4 – Fading

Part 4 in the Littlefish video series on Simple Trading Strategies focuses on Fading, a common Intraday system & strategy, using Bollinger Bands. Click here to watch it…

March Review

Littlefish FX CEO Sam Barry shares his month-end thoughts on trading in March…

Alternative Investments

We have teamed up with a number of partners to offer alternative options to investing in our FX systems, providing several options and price points depending on what you’re looking for from your investment. As opposed to our signals service, this means that we only earn when we make you money, (although we will earn […]

Buffett on Investing

“If you can enjoy Saturdays and Sundays without looking at stock prices, give it a try on weekdays.” Warren Buffett’s latest letter to Berkshire Hathaway holders is definitely worth a read. Short on time? Fear not, we’ve pulled out the best lines here…

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The 7 big questions about Alternative Investments

In the current market, the search for a decent return is driving more people to consider alternative investments. One attractive option is the Foreign Exchange managed account. To help you understand why, here we explore some of the key considerations with our 7 big questions about Alternative Investments…

Order Book Insight

As we have had a fair few questions recently on the choppy markets and order book trading, I thought it might be nice to provide a little more insight into the current market conditions…

February Review

Littlefish FX CEO Sam Barry shares his thoughts on trading in February, and looks ahead to what March may bring…

Managed Accounts

We have teamed up with investment managers, TMS Capital Limited, to offer a fully-managed investment solution…

January Review

In the first of his monthly review letters of 2014, Littlefish FX CEO Sam Barry gives his views on trading in January…

LFX Infographic: January 2014

January is over so it’s time to check out our monthly infographic, featuring our Systems Performance results from the first month of 2014 plus the best facts and stats from around the world in January….

LFX Infographic: December 2013

January is here so it’s time to check out our monthly infographic, featuring our Systems Performance results from December & the best facts and stats from around the world from 2013…

LFX Infographic: November 2013

It’s our monthly infographic with our Systems Performance results from November & the best facts and stats from around the world…

LFX Infographic: October 2013

Check out our monthly infographic with our Systems Performance results from October, mixed with a few fun, interesting and thought-provoking facts from around the world…

LFX Infographic: September 2013

It’s a new month, which can mean but one thing – our monthly infographic with our Systems Performance results from September, mixed with the best facts and stats from the Littlefish office and around the world…

Systems Performance

Here at Littlefish FX, we spend a lot of time designing systems for others to use. See below for links to the current systems we are operating, designed and/or built for ourselves and for others. All of these systems are based on the same underlying order book components with various limitations or structures as per […]

OrderBook

Forex Trading Courses

Attention class! Launching very soon are our full selection of Forex courses, including: Getting Started with Forex, Order Book Systems, COT Report, Intraday Breakout Strategy and plenty more. All courses are free to all members (of course!) and we’ll send you an email when they become available. Click for more info…

Courses