An update on USD/JPY

We are frequently asked what our target is on USD/JPY in the long term (within the next 6 months, to even one year), and I usually don’t have a specific figure. At this point, I just know that you should just short the Yen in your LT portfolio and review your position when a new major development happens in the market (More aggressive than Abe’s one, which is hard to believe there is going to be one)…

UK Public Sector Net Borrowing

As Steve Collins pointed out on twitter this morning, an interesting stat on UK Public Sector Net Borrowing is that it isn’t really coming down. Chart above shows the Month on Month figures with a 12 month moving average in red. As you notice, although the UK made good headway, we are now in a bit of […]

Pessimistic Draghi Fails to Sink The Euro Ahead of PMIs

US Existing Home Sales came in worse than expected on Monday but this my have been counteracted by a downbeat Draghi who commented that the Eurozone recovery is losing momentum. Either way most pairs were rather sluggish except for the commodity currencies which took a good old pasting. USDCAD was up markedly and AUDUSD was […]

Avoiding false signals

Immediately following a crucial night in UK following Scotland’s NO verdict in the independence referendum last week, there were fewer opportunities in the market due to few significant data releases. Thus, USD is holding up, while EUR and GBP remain flat (although GBP does seem healthier than EUR). Looking at this market situation then, I […]

Technicals on Cable: New bullish trend or rejection?

For those who followed my recent positioning on FX currencies (playing the ‘oversold’ GBP), I cut some my long positions on GBP (Cable at 1.6450, GBPAUD at 1.8200, still short on EURGBP with a first target at 0.7800) that I was holding ahead of the Scottish referendum…

The Week Ahead

This week in Trader Lifestyle, we’re helping you escape your desk with our Guides to Spa Days, Golf Courses and travelling destinations- as well as helping you kit out your desk with our guide to office equipment and trading gadgets. Here’s what you can look forward to…

The LFX Guide to: Spa Days

Friday is National Relaxation Day, so there’s no better time to take a break from the stress of watching those trading screens and treat yourself to a day of pampering and rejuvenation. We’ve rounded up our 10 favourite spas from around the world so read on to decide where you’ll be heading for your relaxation day…

All About The Dollar – Continuation or Retracement?

After a wild week in the FX market last week there is a possibility that this week may see some consolidation of the moves. We are hovering around some very major levels at the moment so it will be critical to determine a longer term outlook from how the market handles these levels. If we […]

Video: A Quick Intro to Order Flow Trading

Want to learn about the trading techniques used here at Littlefish FX? Then watch CEO Sam Barry take you through a brief intro to Order Flow Trading…

Five Lessons Learnt This Week

It’s Friday! Which only means one thing. Beer Five Lessons Learnt This Week! (the beer can wait). This week, we’ve learnt why you should always drive carefully (especially if you’re in a brand new car…), what your future trading desk will look like and how long you can expect to live…

Viral Videos of the Week

In this week’s round-up of the best viral videos, watch a policeman’s most embarrassing moment, a group of adults’ (pitiful) attempt at 5th grade maths, and a game of peekaboo go horribly wrong…

Introduction to Order Flow Trading (Course Preview)

This article is an introduction to applying an Order Flow approach using the Metastock platform. This is a very simple technique that can prove very powerful. The key to this approach is to follow the big players, choosing the right side of the market. This requires the use of professional trading platforms and a very good datafeed…

US Dollar Rejects Highs Ahead Of Scottish Vote

The dollar did in fact pull away from the strong resistance level suggested despite some data to the contrary, TLTRO take-up was much lower than expected and US jobless claims came in better than expected, which should have given the dollar a boost, although the slightly poorer than expected US housing data may be partly […]

The LFX Guide to: Golf Courses

The countdown is on for the Ryder Cup, which tees off next week, so get into the golfing spirit and sharpen up your swing at one of our favourite golf courses from around the world. From exclusive golf clubs to courses that scale mountains and spread across safari parks, our LFX guide is sure to inspire you…

Devil’s Advocate: Is The Dollar Now Overpriced?

With the FOMC on Wednesday, USDJPY traders did not wait for the meeting to finish before piling into yet more USDJPY longs. The focus was on whether the wording “…considerable time” was still present in relation to keeping the Fed funds rate near zero, so traders were hoping for that to be removed this time […]

Littlefish Loves: Thurlestone Hotel

In this week’s Littlefish Loves, we’re heading out of the office for a little R&R on the South Devon coastline at the Thurlestone Hotel

MPC FOMC And Referendum Positioning

UK PPI and RPI were both below par on Tuesday which led to a morning sell off for the pound. German ZEW was also quite a poor number although not as poor as forecast. All of the moves were rather muted and the status-quo remains, however there was one piece of unscheduled news that caused […]

Playing the ‘oversold’ GBP

Sterling took a tumble overnight; Cable was sold to 1.6160 (off 100 pips compared to yesterday’s high) and EUR/GBP bounced back above the 0.8000 level. A couple of explanations that I can think of would be either a market that expected lower inflation figures (vs. 1.5% consensus) or speculation on Scots independence…

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The LFX Guide to: Autumn/Winter Fashion

If London Fashion Week has inspired you to sharpen up that wardrobe, we can help. Our LFX Guide to Autumn/Winter Fashion will make sure you’re up to speed on this season’s trends.

Will the Dollar Rally continue?

Since its low of 79.74 hit in July 2nd [this year], the US Dollar index has been rising against most the major currencies and is now trading at a 14-month high at around 84.30. The next resistance on the topside stands at 84.75 (9 July 2013 high), before heading towards levels we saw back in June 2010…

Ready Steady Wait

The week started slowly due to the Japanese holiday and the lack of major news ahead of the major risk events later in the week. Empire state was above par at 27.5 vs 16.4 expected, while US Industrial Production was below par for the headline figure at -0.1% vs 0.4% expected…

Weekly COT Analysis

Where do I start, the market is busy, Mario is throwing curve balls and tells the market ABS is going to take off, the SNB talk of negative rates, the Scots show how much they really don’t like the Union and feel they can do better on their own…

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Look at the Aussie, eventually!

The Aussie traded back below the 0.9000 level against the greenback earlier this morning, which I believe made the joy of many traders (the ones who have been fighting against the Aussie for a while). As a reminder, AUD/USD broke its [five-month] 0.9200 – 0.9500 range last week and is now…

Best Autumn/Winter Events of 2014

Believe it or not, we’re in the last week of August, and autumn is almost upon us. It’ll be Christmas before we know it (yikes). But don’t despair, there are still plenty of exciting events coming up in Autumn/Winter 2014. Read on to find out when you need to make sure your calendar is clear…

The Week Ahead

In The Week Ahead, we’re giving you a sneak preview into what you can expect from our Trader Lifestyle section this week, keeping you up to date on tech, fashion, sports, cars, events and all your favourite distractions from the trading screen.

Viral Videos of the Week

Viral Videos of the Week is a brand new feature bringing you a round up of our favourite viral videos of the week, every week.

Five Lessons Learnt This Week

It’s that time again, folks! Almost time for the weekend- but before you head off, make sure you’ve read our round-up of this week’s important lessons. This time, we’ve found out the best way to escape from doing the housework, where all of our socks have been disappearing to and that there really is a use for a chocolate teapot…

Dollar Consolidation But No Retracement

There is still a lot of focus on the pound and indeed we had another poll released late on the Thursday session which showed a 48% no, 52% yes vote. We also know that there is a very high percentage of the population registered to vote this time around for the referendum, but despite the […]

The LFX Guide to: Mobile Trading Gadgets

We’re taking a look at the best mobile technology for traders, from apps to help you keep on top of the economic calendar to the best tablets and smartphones for trading on-the-go…

Yo-Yo Polls Make For A Roller Coaster Cable Ride

With so much focus on the pound and the ‘will they won’t they’ yoyo between a yes or a no vote for the referendum, the main mover was the Yen, which broke through multi-year levels. The Yen really does look like weakness is here to stay after the prolonged period of consolidation. The dollar also […]

Latest Analysis: Japan, the Yen and the Aussie

Three days ago, we saw that Japanese GDP contraction in the second quarter was revised to an annualized 7.1% QoQ (vs. 6.8% previously), shrinking at its fastest pace in more than five years, due to a deeper decline in consumer spending and a bigger fall in capital expenditure (money used to purchase, upgrade, improve or extend the life of LT assets)…

Littlefish Loves: Nespresso

The star of this week’s Littlefish Loves is another one of @LFXSam’s office essentials: a Nespresso coffee machine.

Hawkish Carney Fires Blank Ahead Of Inflation Report

Wednesday would normally be a big day for the Pound. We have the inflation report hearing, which is typically used as the yardstick for timing the widely expected rate hike, but Carney only the day before has already given us the plan, with a spring projection for the rate hike. The market though couldn’t care […]

The Top 11 Cars Of 2014

Has watching the Grand Prix at the weekend given you the petrol bug? Need helping decide what your next motor should be? Then read on for our picks of the best new cars of 2014.

Europe Still Plummeting As Dollar Rockets

After a very slow summer, September has already been a shock of volatility that we haven’t seen for sometime. Seemingly the perfect storm of a more hawkish Fed, Doveish BOJ and Dovish ECB along with some serious political risk for the UK thrown in for good measure. Market commentators rarely get to say things like […]

EURUSD – One to watch

So after last weeks rapid drop in the Euro the currency has steadied at the 1.2945 level. The large sell off last week didn’t really see a lot of flow into in given how big the move was, more we saw a lot of people getting out of the way. Therefore one to watch early […]

Week Ahead: Pound Drops Like A Stone After Poll

After last week’s very doveish ECB result we have a confident bearish outlook for the Euro although there remains perhaps a need to consolidate the strong knee-jerk reaction from the Euro. The most significant news over the weekend was that of an opinion poll which for the first time tipped the Scottish vote in favour […]

Book Club

Introducing our LFX Book Club, the essential reading list for all traders, whether you’re brand new to trading or a seasoned pro. From reference books and essential guides to memoirs and biographies of notorious traders, if there’s a trading lesson to be learnt, it’s here… The Wolf of Wall Street By Jordan Belfort (a.k.a. the […]

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ECB shakes the market

In addition to an ‘interest rates corridor cut’ (refi rate down to 5bps, deposit rate to -0.20% and marginal lending rate to 0.30%), the ECB surprised the market on Thursday after Draghi announced that the central bank will start buying securitised loans (portfolios of transparent ABS which will include loans to the real economy and real estate assets) and euro-denominated covered bonds in order to boost lending to small and mid-size companies (further details next meeting on October 2nd)…

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Viral Videos of the Week

In this week’s Viral Videos, watch persistent cyclists, an overly enthusiastic selfie photoshoot, a dancing guard and a pampered pooch…

Five Lessons Learnt This Week

In this week’s Five Lessons Learnt, find out why your local charity shop is worth having a rummage in, why pretending to be Superman can be more dangerous than you might think and why you should always check your facts before making a complaint…

Eject! Eject! Euro In A Tail Spin

Draghi has surprised the market once again and not only added further rate cuts across the corridor of rates, but also confirmed that they will soon start the outright purchase of asset backed securities, although the details of exactly how much are yet to be finalised. As such the Euro has dropped like a stone […]

Draghi and QE

So a few thoughts pre ECB today to just throw in my two pennies worth. The only reason I think Draghi does QE is to devalue the Euro and it’s pretty obvious if he does this that I would question, if I was on the G7, whether currency wars are allowed. My issue with QE […]

The LFX Guide to: Watches

Whether you’re after a watch that monitors your heart, synchs to your phone, has a groundbreaking design, tracks the solar system or even one that just tells the time (imagine that), it’s all here in our guide to the best watches on the market…

ECB Game Of Chicken

Central bankers never like to admit it, except for the SNB and they have a get out of jail free card, but the likes of the ECB, BOJ, BOE and the FED are all directly targeting exchange rates. I’m really not sure who they are trying to fool by saying that they are only targeting […]

Top 10 Charity Events

Have you done your good deed for the day? Friday is the International Day of Charity- to help you do your bit, here’s our guide to the Top Ten upcoming Charity Events for you to sponsor, support and get involved in…

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Scottish Opinion Polls Spook Cable Bulls

The very strong number last week from the Chicago PMI was an early indicator of a strong US ISM Manufacturing number on Tuesday so the dollar remained bid…

Positioning and Scaling

As many of you know we use a lot of order book analysis, our primary trading, which is all systematic and uses a lot of methods for scaling and calculating risk. However our new order book methods – that we trade manually and you can proxy – are very simple when it comes to scaling in and out, but worth understanding…

Waiting for the ECB?

An interesting event this week will be the ECB meeting on Thursday (September 4th). Back in June, a month after Draghi’s ‘ready to act’, the ECB introduced a range of [anticipated] measures in addition to the ‘interest rates corridor cut’, fixing the deposit rate in negative territory in order to fight deflationary threat in Europe…

Slow Start To Another Important Week

We have a busy week ahead with numerous central bank rate decisions and policy statements to negotiate, however with the US and Canadians on bank holiday, Monday was a rather quiet affair. The theme remains dollar strength overall, and now that we have end of month fund rebalancing out of the way there is no […]

Littlefish Loves: Magic Whiteboard

Littlefish Loves is a brand new feature bringing you our favourite product or service of the week. Expect the latest must-have gadgets, cool stuff for the office and ingenious inventions, as well as the occasional one that’s just plain barmy…

LFX/NinjaTrader Webinar: Order Book trading secrets

Back in 2013, Littlefish FX’s very own Sam Barry gave a NinjaTrader Webinar on Order Book trading secrets. Didn’t catch it? Fear not, NinjaTrader were kind enough to record it all in full, so here it is again for your viewing pleasure…

Basic Order Flow – Trade Like Littlefish

A really quick bit of insight into how you could have captured all of the EURUSD recent moves without any effort, just by looking at order flow. From CEO Sam Barry…

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Order Flow Basics: Delta

In the latest educational article on order flow, Gabriele demonstrates a way to use order flow information to catch a possible market reversal…

Dark Pools and the FX Trade

With the debate flying around on the subject of Dark Pools, why should I, as an FX trader care? Well, apart from it being an interesting subject for anyone involved in finance, dark pools aren’t actually too dissimilar to how FX brokers’ order books work…

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Top four candlestick patterns to look out for

When it comes to trading candlestick charts, you’ve no doubt got your own favourites, but it’s always healthy to get another opinion. Right? Good. Here then, are our top four candlestick patterns to keep an eye out for on your chart…

Order Flow Trading: How to follow trend

Gabriele demonstrates how you could have captured recent negative movements of equity futures by the use of order flow and volume strategies…

Video: Using the Littlefish FX Psych Indicator

Our LFX Psych Indicator measures the % of longs or shorts in a given period and is used in two key ways. Here’s a short video tutorial from Sam…

Understanding Forex Trading Sessions

The Forex market may be open 24 hours a day during the week, but it is important to note that not all times are equal. Understanding why is an important lesson for any trader so that they can adapt their trading style to suit the market conditions…

Order Flow: Equity Risk-Off

Last week, several catalysts pushed major equity markets down by the rise of risk aversion: the banking crisis in Portugal with Banco Espirito Santo, conflict in Gaza, and the Malaysian Airways jet that was shot down in Ukraine…

A Simple Trick to Help You Win Candlestick Patterns

As a lot of you know, my team and I focus a lot on volume profiling and order books. Recently we gave a bit of an intro to these, but I know it wasn’t massively in depth and, in fact, not super easy either. So today I’m going to simplify it right down to a simple trick for you to use. Obviously this is only one part of the big picture, but it’s a start…

POC: Powerful levels for intraday swings

Here we provide a glimpse of a very easy, but at the same time incredibly powerful trading tool: POC, Point of Control…

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Top 4 Trading Tools I Couldn’t Live Without

So over the weekend I figured I’d review our systems and trading techniques, and have decided that I am going to start a series of videos on a simple trading system, based on my top four trading tools…

Retail investors’ portal iNVEZZ launches crowd funding campaign

Our friends over at iNVEZZ – the comparison and review investment portal – have launched a campaign on crowd funding site Crowdcube. The innovative online company is raising investment capital for the development of unique new features, and you can meet and grill the co-founders at their live London pitch on July 30th…

How to Trade Indicator Divergence

Indicator Divergence is one of the easiest trading tactics if you use it right. Learn the best ways to implement divergence into your trading strategy while minimising risk and avoiding false signals…

Beating Binary Options Pricing Models

Our tech team have taken up the challenge to beat binary options brokers. Here’s one of the strategies we got working well…

You Are The Trading Revolution

Wall Street is dead, long live Wall Street, says CEO Sam Barry as he gives his thoughts on who will come out as winners in the trading revolution…

The key remains to follow the flow

John Plender wrote an interesting and short piece in the FT last week, and I suggest you read it…

Buy: Indicators, Courses & Strategies

Our Littlefish FX Trading tools – available to download instantly – include Add-ons, Indicators, Strategies and Courses.

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RTAS System Insight Part 4: Rebaselining & Conclusion

The fourth and concluding part in our series of articles by CEO Sam Barry talking about the RTAS System and addressing some of the most common questions and feedback from inquisitive Littlefish FX readers…

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Bespoke Forex Trading Systems

A COMPLETE TRADING SYSTEM IN A BOX Attention all prop, managed account, hedge fund and fund businesses – here at Littlefish FX we are offering bespoke black box development based on our patented in-house order book systems. A full trading system – unique to you Based on underlying order flow techniques as used in our […]

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RTAS System Insight Part 3: Creating our Portfolio

Now lets consider where the difference lie between systems. A good example may be that a fund or Hedgefund is looking for 25% to 30% returns per annum, 1:5 leverage with ultra low drawdowns, but is not concerned with number of open trades and allows hedging structures…

RTAS System Insight Part 2: Strategy building

Once we have the idea, the concept then turned to how do we build component based systems so that we can either produce long dated consistent systems or manipulate components for certain conditions or system specifications…

RTAS System Insight Part 1: Order Flow

To start with, I’d like give you all a bit of insight into how we build systems and therefore a little insight into the RTAS system as it finalises its rebaselining…

March Review

Littlefish FX CEO Sam Barry shares his month-end thoughts on trading in March…

Littlefish Shark School

Want a trading job at Littlefish FX? Do you have what it takes to become a trading shark? We are looking for our next generation of traders. Familiar with the “turtle trading” concept of several years ago? Well let us introduce to you the Littlefish FX trading concept. We are looking for people to outperform […]

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Alternative Investments

We have teamed up with a number of partners to offer alternative options to investing in our FX systems, providing several options and price points depending on what you’re looking for from your investment. As opposed to our signals service, this means that we only earn when we make you money, (although we will earn […]

Buffett on Investing

“If you can enjoy Saturdays and Sundays without looking at stock prices, give it a try on weekdays.” Warren Buffett’s latest letter to Berkshire Hathaway holders is definitely worth a read. Short on time? Fear not, we’ve pulled out the best lines here…

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The 7 big questions about Alternative Investments

In the current market, the search for a decent return is driving more people to consider alternative investments. One attractive option is the Foreign Exchange managed account. To help you understand why, here we explore some of the key considerations with our 7 big questions about Alternative Investments…

Order Book Insight

As we have had a fair few questions recently on the choppy markets and order book trading, I thought it might be nice to provide a little more insight into the current market conditions…

February Review

Littlefish FX CEO Sam Barry shares his thoughts on trading in February, and looks ahead to what March may bring…

Managed Accounts

We have teamed up with investment managers, TMS Capital Limited, to offer a fully-managed investment solution…

January Review

In the first of his monthly review letters of 2014, Littlefish FX CEO Sam Barry gives his views on trading in January…

LFX Infographic: January 2014

January is over so it’s time to check out our monthly infographic, featuring our Systems Performance results from the first month of 2014 plus the best facts and stats from around the world in January….

LFX Infographic: December 2013

January is here so it’s time to check out our monthly infographic, featuring our Systems Performance results from December & the best facts and stats from around the world from 2013…

LFX Infographic: November 2013

It’s our monthly infographic with our Systems Performance results from November & the best facts and stats from around the world…

LFX Infographic: October 2013

Check out our monthly infographic with our Systems Performance results from October, mixed with a few fun, interesting and thought-provoking facts from around the world…

Systems Performance

Here at Littlefish FX, we spend a lot of time designing systems for others to use. See below for links to the current systems we are operating, designed and/or built for ourselves and for others. All of these systems are based on the same underlying order book components with various limitations or structures as per […]

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Forex Trading Courses

Attention class! Launching very soon are our full selection of Forex courses, including: Getting Started with Forex, Order Book Systems, COT Report, Intraday Breakout Strategy and plenty more. All courses are free to all members (of course!) and we’ll send you an email when they become available. Click for more info…

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